The impacts of climate change are accelerating — but climate actions and solutions are, too.
Current Trends in Climate Action
As you may know, 2024 has been the most heated year on records and climate disruptions keep worsening. Public policies regarding climate mitigation may be slowed down by various forms of political obstructionism, even in major countries, but this does not change the fact that the pressure climate crisis keeps growing, its impacts are accelerating, and technological solutions keep improving, so the situation offers grave threats and also many opportunities.
Over the past three years, there has been a notable increase in global commitments to climate action, with 131 countries adopting net-zero pledges. This reflects a growing recognition of the urgency to address climate change despite political and economic challenges.
The U.N. global climate action portal (Nazca: Non-State Actor Zone for Climate Action) that gathers the commitments and actions of non-state actors, including regions, cities, companies, and organizations involved. At this time, it identifies no less than 43,136 actors engaged in climate action (such as the net zero commitment): these include 194 countries, 14,439 cities, 304 regiones, 5,900 organizations, and 20,511 companies. From the interactive map displayed on the website it is possible to identify in one click what are, in each country, the actors engaged in climate action, as well as the last update to the nationally determined contributions. It is the most impressive display of global coordination of data.
The portal features an intuitive interactive map that allows users to visualize global climate actions easily. This design enhances user engagement and facilitates access to information about climate commitments across different regions and sectors. The ability to filter data by actor type (e.g., cities, companies) adds to its usability. The portal exemplifies data science through its aggregation and visualization of vast amounts of data related to climate actions. It compiles commitments from thousands of entities, enabling users to analyze trends, compare actions between different actors, and identify gaps in climate commitments.
To be included on the Global Climate Action (Nazca) map, an organization needs to register their climate action commitments through the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) platform, essentially providing details about their climate initiatives, targets, and progress on the dedicated portal, which allows them to be showcased on the interactive map as a participating non-state actor in the fight against climate change
Global map of the Non-State Actors for Climate Action Zone (Source: UNFCCC), see reference.
The willingness to integrate environmental and climate policies keeps spreading.
Climate risks at the forefront of financial previsions for 2025
Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR), also known as Expected Shortfall, is a tool that quantifies the expected loss of an investment or portfolio in scenarios where losses exceed a certain threshold (the Value at Risk, or VaR). Climate Value at Risk has emerged as a valuable new tool for assessing and managing climate related risks, evaluating the different kinds of climate risks (acute physical risks, chronical physical risks, policy/legal risks, technology risks, market risks and reputational risks)It provides quantitative insights that support informed decision-making.
For companies, the report estimates that “215 out of the 500 largest companies in the world could lose about one trillion dollars due to climate change. Most of these risks are reported to materialize from 2024 onwards. But “The transition to low-carbon economy presents an untapped growth potential and will determine which companies emerge as future innovators and take advantage of these opportunities via the successful development or growth of key low-carbon technologies”
The report also evaluates the impact of climate risks for regulators, stating that “their capture by capital frameworks requires a more forward-looking approach than used for many other risks, and scenario analysis and stress testing will play a key role in this.
Financial outcomes of COP 29 in Baku, November 2024
Following the international events calendar, the annual Conference of the Parties (COP 29) was held this year in Baku, Azerbaijan, from November 11 to November 11, centered of Climate Finance.
In spite of facing huge obstacles and obstructions, the developed countries agreed to a new goal of at least 300 billions annually by 2023 to support climate action in developing countries. This is triple the previous commitment of $100 billion per year. The overall financing target including both public and private contributions is set to reach at least $ 1.3 trillion per year by 2035.
Energy transition At COP28, countries committed to phasing out fossil fuels and significantly increasing renewable energy capacity, aiming to triple renewables and double energy efficiency by 2030. Although this goal remains at risk, the world is on track to reach only 66% of this target. Reports indicate that while renewable energy investments have surged, especially in solar energy, clean energy investments have reportedly doubled compared to fossil fuels—but fossil fuel subsidies remain at an all-time high, hindering overall progress.
If policies of some governments proclaim that they will be keeping or even increasing their fossil fuel subsidies in thee coming years, this can slow down the energy transition but not prevent it, because the environmental pressure of extreme temperatures and climate events, keep growing and clean technologies are increasingly the least expensive technologies.
Emissions Projections: Current projections suggest that emissions may peak before 2025 if existing policies are effectively implemented. However, these reductions are not sufficient to meet the goals set by the Paris Agreement, which requires a 43% reduction in emissions by 2030
Challenges in Local Implementation: Analysis shows that many national climate plans lack strong urban initiatives, with only 27% containing robust urban strategies. Furthermore, only a small percentage of G20 cities have aligned their targets with global warming limits of 1.5 degrees Celsius. As countries prepare their next round of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) for 2025, there is an urgent need for collaboration between national and subnational governments to enhance ambition and ensure effective implementation of climate actions
The next global climate meeting, COP 30, is scheduled to be held in Belém, Brazil, in 2025, although the exact dates have not yet been specified, and countries are expected to update their national commitments (NDCs) in this coming year.
So we can conclude 2024 on a serious but hopeful note that the trends slowing progress toward a more sustainable world will remain a real but not definite obstacle, and wish our readers a happy year 2025.
Final note…New environmental taxation courses offered at CIAT
The CIAT Human Talent Directorate will offer in 2025 two green taxation courses directed at tax administrations officials. One introductory course on environmental taxation in general and one more advanced, focusing on about initiatives in Latin American and Caribbean Countries, covering carbon emissions taxation, national and local levels of action, environmental services initiatives and coordination between agencies.